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Possible Playoff Scenarios - Two Weeks Remain

07/12/2017, 10:00pm CDT
By NEFL

In the NEFL the Top-3 teams from each Division make the playoffs.  #3 plays @ #2, with the winner traveling to #1.  The NEFL Championship is played with the West vs East Division Winners.
Let's look at Possible Playoff Scenarios. 

 

WEST - We know who's in, but what order is wide-open.
It could get as crazy as all three teams ending 6-2!

St Paul Pioneers
- Division Record: 5-1
- Points Against: 54
- Games Remaining: @ Invaders, vs Brawlers
- Best Case: #1
- Worst Case: #3
- Outlook: If the Pioneers win-out, they get the #1 seed; Fargo is the biggest opponent standing in the way but the Brawlers could play spoiler.
- Scenarios: If St Paul loses to the Invaders...
#1 if Fargo has 1 more loss and Pioneers are ahead of Warriors on Points Against
#2 if Fargo wins-out
#3 if St Paul lose both games

Fargo Invaders
- Division Record: 5-1
- Points Against: 86
- Games Remaining: vs Pioneers, @ Warriors
- Best Case: #1
- Worst Case: #3
- Outlook: If the Invaders win-out, they get the #1 seed; it's possible but would be difficult against two of the best teams in the league.
- Scenarios: If Fargo loses to the Pioneers, the Warriors game the following week (7/22) will be played to see who is #3 and who is #2 - which would host a rematch in the first round of playoffs the next week (7/29).  
If Fargo defeats the Pioneers, the Warriors game will be played to see who is #1 with all 3 teams still having a shot; a loss vs the Warriors would give all three teams two losses and the Points Against tie-breaker isn't favoring the Invaders, so they would likely get the #3.

Minneapolis Warriors
- Division Record: 5-2
- Points Against: 52
- Games Remaining: vs Invaders
- Best Case: #1
- Worst Case: #3
- Outlook: The Warriors get the #1 seed by winning-out AND the Invaders beat the Pioneers AND the Points Against tie-breaker is fewer than the Pioneers and Invaders.
- Scenarios: If the Warriors lose to the Invaders they would be the #3 seed. 
With a win over the Invaders, it would come-down to the Pioneers/Invaders game (played the week prior); Pioneers win = #2 seed, Invaders win = Points Against tie-break for #1/#2/#3.

 

EAST - There are four teams vying for three spots, with games against each other.

River City Rough Riders
- Division Record: 5-1
- Points Against: 47
- Games Remaining: vs Predators, vs Thunderhawks
- Best Case: #1
- Worst Case: #2
- Outlook: If the Rough Riders win-out and play stout defense, they will get the #1 seed.  If Rough Riders & Bulls win-out, it would come down to the Points Against Tie-breaker for the #1/#2 seed.
- Scenarios: Though it is possible to drop to #3 or all the way out of the playoffs, it would take a lot for that to happen; multiple losses PLUS winning-out by other teams.  A more realistic scenario is #1 or #2 which will come down to Points Against tie-breaker.

Northland Bulls
- Division Record: 5-1
- Points Against: 64
- Games Remaining: vs Force, vs Predators
- Best Case: #1
- Worst Case: #2
- Outlook: If the Bulls win-out and play even better defense than the Rough Riders, they will get the #1 seed.  If Rough Riders & Bulls win-out, it would come down to the Points Against Tie-breaker for the #1/#2 seed.  The Bulls currently have More Points Against, so they will need a little help by Rough Rider opponents.
- Scenarios: Though it is possible to drop to #3 or all the way out of the playoffs, it would take a lot for that to happen; multiple losses PLUS winning-out by other teams.  A more realistic scenario is #1 or #2 which will come down to Points Against tie-breaker.

Chippewa Valley Predators
- Division Record: 3-3
- Points Against: 86
- Games Remaining: @ Rough Riders, @ Bulls
- Best Case: (#1) #3
- Worst Case: Out
- Outlook: #1 & #2 would be a stretch, as they would have to win-out AND get Bulls & Rough Riders to lose-out PLUS win the Points Against scenario.  So it's more realistic that it will be a fight for #3.
- Scenarios: Both the Predators & Force play the Bulls & Rough Riders, so there could be a Lot of Movement still happening.  With a loss to either team, it would come down to how the Force play against those teams (W/L) & the Points Against tie-breaker.

Fox Valley Force
- Division Record: 3-4
- Points Against: 97
- Games Remaining: @ Bulls
- Best Case: #3
- Worst Case: Out
- Outlook: The Force will be battling for the #3 seed.  A win over the Bulls would help, but if not they would need the Predators to lose both games AND win the Points Against tie-breaker.
- Scenarios: Both the Force & Predators play the Bulls & Rough Riders, so there could be a Lot of Movement still happening.  With a loss to either team, it would come down to how the Predators play against those teams (W/L) & the Points Against tie-breaker.

Tag(s): Force  Predators  Rough Riders  Thunderhawks  Bulls  Pioneers  Sting  Warriors  Invaders